25 simple bullet points proving CO2 does not cause global warming: by a geologist for a change
Geologists know climate change unrelated to atmospheric CO2 occurred throughout Earth’s 4.5-billion-year history. Yet the IPCC has no geologists among the hundreds of appointed authors of its Fifth Assessment Report of 2014 and its Sixth Report due in 2022. Thus IPCC incredibly lacks both geological input and long-term perspective.
– Geologist Dr. Roger Higgs
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25 simple bullet points proving CO2 does not cause global warming: by a geologist for a change
Dr Roger Higgs,Geoclastica Ltd, Technical Note 2019-11,
6th April 2019, on ResearchGate
We urgently need to expose the ‘CO2 = pollutant’ fallacy being forced upon your children, grandchildren, nephews and nieces by schools, universities, governments and mainstream media worldwide, and to denounce it in scrupulously truthful terms easily understood by the public, including those youngsters themselves.
Here are the 25 bullet points proving CO2’s innocence:
1) Geologists know climate change
unrelated to atmospheric CO2 occurred throughout Earth’s
4.5-billion-year history. Yet the IPCC (United Nations Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change) has no geologists among the hundreds of
appointed authors of its Fifth Assessment Report of 2014 and its Sixth
Report due in 2022 (see my Technical Note 2019-10). Thus IPCC incredibly
lacks both geological input and long-term perspective.
2) IPCC’s very existence relies on public
belief in manmade or ‘anthropogenic’ global warming (AGW) by CO2
emissions. Moreover its appointed authors, mostly government and
university researchers, are nearly all biased by strong vested interests
in AGW, i.e. reputations (publications, lectures) & continuance of
salaries & research grants. Similarly, major universities have
abandoned their scientific impartiality & integrity by hosting
research institutes mandated to confirm & act on AGW, e.g. Grantham
Institute (Imperial College), Tyndall Centre.
3) The often-repeated ‘97% consensus
among scientists that global warming is man’s fault’ (CO2 emissions) is
untrue. It refers in fact to surveys of just a relatively small group of
‘climate scientists’ (a fairly new type of scientist, with strong
incentives for bias; see Bullets 2 & 15), moreover only those who
are ‘actively publishing’.
4) ‘Climate change denier’ & ‘global
warming denier’ are despicable & dishonest terms for ‘AGW doubters’.
No educated person disputes global warming, as thermometers measured
1°C rise from 1850 to 2016 (with pauses).
5) The ‘Greenhouse Hypothesis’, on which
IPCC’s belief in AGW is based, is that atmospheric gases trap heat. But
this old (19th century) notion is merely an idea, not a hypothesis,
because it is untestable, impossible to prove in a laboratory as no
experimental container can imitate Earth’s uncontained, well-mixed
atmosphere.
6) IPCC computer models are so full of
assumptions as to be extremely unreliable, e.g. forecast warming for
1995 to 2015 turned out to be 2-3 times too high ! A likely reason is
that the greenhouse idea is nonsense, as explained in recent
publications by several scientists. See Bullet 19 for an equally drastic
failure of IPCC models. See also https://www.wnd.com/2017/07/study-blows-greenhouse-theory-out-of-the-water/ https://principia-scientific.org/r-i-p-greenhouse-gas-theory-1980-2018/
7) For about 75% of the last 550 million
years, CO2 was 2 to 15 times higher than now. Evolution flourished, CO2
enabling plant photosynthesis, the basis of all life. Extinction events
due to overheating by CO2 are unknown.
8) Through the last 12,000 years (our
current Holocene interglacial period), CO2 was a mere 250 to 290 ppm
(parts per million), near plant-starvation level, until about 1850 when
industrial CO2 emissions began, making CO2 climb steeply. Nevertheless
CO2 today it is still only 412ppm, i.e. under half of one-tenth of 1% of
our atmosphere
9) Until man began adding CO2 about 1850,
warming (determined from ‘proxies’ like tree rings) since the 1600AD
Little Ice Age peak was accompanied by slowly rising CO2 (measured in
ice cores). A simple explanation is CO2 release by ocean water, whose
CO2-holding capacity decreases upon warming.
10) Supporting this sign that CO2 is a
consequence, not cause, of global warming, a published study of
1980-2011 measurements showed that changes in warming rate precede
changes in CO2’s growth rate, by about a year.
11) Since the 1850 start of man’s
additions, CO2’s rise has generally accelerated, without reversals. In
stark contrast, the post-1850 to present-day continuance of warming out
of the Little Ice Age was interrupted by frequent small coolings of 1-3
years (some relatable to ‘volcanic winters’), plus two 30-year coolings
(1878 to 1910, 1944 to 1976), and the famous 1998 to 2013
‘global-warming pause’ or ‘hiatus’ (Wiki).
12) This unsteady modern warming instead
resembles the unsteady rise of the sun’s magnetic output from 1901
toward a rare solar ‘Grand Maximum’ peaking in 1991, the first in 1700
years !
13) Modern warming reached a peak in February 2016. Since then, Earth has cooled for 3 years (now April 2019).
14) The ‘Svensmark Theory’ says increased
solar magnetic flux warms Earth by deflecting cosmic rays, thus reducing
cloudiness, allowing more of the sun’s warmth to heat the land and ocean
instead of being reflected. In support, a NASA study of satellite data
spanning 32 years (1979-2011) showed decreasing cloud cover.
15) Vociferous IPCC-involved climate
scientist Dr Stefan Rahmstorf (Wiki) of the German government’s Potsdam
Institute for Climate Impact Research, recipient of a US$1 million
personal research grant from a private foundation, wrongly said in his
2008 article ‘Anthropogenic Climate Change’: “there is no viable
alternative … [to CO2 as driver of modern warming from 1940 to 2005
because] … different authors agree that solar activity did not
significantly increase” during that period. Yet nine years earlier, in
1999, famous physicist Dr Michael Lockwood (Wiki; FRS) wrote, in ‘A
Doubling of the Sun’s Coronal Magnetic Field During the Past 100 Years’,
published in prestigious Nature journal: “the total magnetic
flux leaving the Sun has risen by a factor of 1.4 since 1964” and 2.3
since 1901 !! See for yourselves the striking overall 1964-91 climb in
solar-magnetic output, recorded by the strong overall fall in detected
neutrons (proportional to cosmic rays), in graph 3 here … https://cosmicrays.oulu.fi
16) Lockwood showed averaged solar
magnetic flux increased 230% from 1901 to 1995, i.e. more than doubled !
The final peak value was 5 times the starting minimum value ! Bullets 17
& 18 likewise back Svensmark’s theory…
17) … after the previous solar Grand
Maximum (4th century, long before industrial CO2), in the next decades
Earth warmed to near or above today’s temperature. Then ‘sawtooth’
cooling proceeded, through the Dark Ages and ‘Medieval Warm Period’,
into the Little Ice Age, paralleling a 1,000-year unsteady solar
decline; and …
18) … before that, between 8000 and
2000BC, Earth was occasionally warmer than today for hundreds if not
thousands of years, as shown by tree rings, shrunken glaciers, etc..
Then unsteady cooling from 3000BC into the Little Ice Age paralleled
unsteady solar decline following the Holocene’s ‘super-Grand’ Maximum
near 3000BC.
19) This 4,500-year cooling contradicts
IPCC computer models that instead predict warming by the simultaneous
(slow) rise in CO2. This is the ‘The Holocene Temperature Conundrum’ of
Liu et al. (2014). See also Bullet 6.
20) Embarrassingly for AGW promoters, the
8000-2000BC warm interval (Bullet 18) was already, ironically, named
the ‘Holocene Climatic Optimum’, before today’s CO2/AGW hysteria began.
The warmth probably benefitted human social development. Indeed, it was
cold episodes, bringing drought and famine, that ended civilisations.
21) Cross-correlating post-1880 graphs of
solar-magnetic flux versus Earth’s temperature suggests a 25-year
timelag, such that the 2016 peak temperature corresponds to the 1991
solar peak. The lag is probably due to the ocean’s high thermal inertia
due to its enormous volume and high heat capacity, hence slow response
to warming.
22) IPCC, ignoring the possibility of
such a time-lag, claims that simultaneous global warming (until 2016)
and solar weakening (since 1991) must mean that warming is driven by CO2
!
23) The last interglacial period about
100,000 years ago was warmer than our Holocene interglacial. Humans and
polar bears survived ! CO2 was then about 275ppm, i.e. lower than now
(Bullet 8).
24) The simultaneous rise of temperature
& CO2 is a ‘spurious correlation’. Warming’s real cause was a solar
build-up to a rare Grand Maximum, which man’s industrialisation
accompanied by chance. So IPCC demonising CO2 as a ‘pollutant’ is a
colossal blunder, costing trillions of dollars in needless &
ineffectual efforts to reduce it.
25) Global cooling now in progress since
February 2016 can be predicted to last at least 28 years (i.e. to 2044),
matching the sun’s 28-year decline from 1991 to today, and allowing for
the 25-year time-lag (Bullet 21). Inescapable conclusion: IPCC is wrong
− the sun, not CO2, drove modern global warming.
Here’s some information about Dr. Higgshttp://www.geoclastica.com/BudeGeoWalks.htm
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