New studies & data reveal ‘global warming’ NOT behind California drought – Not ‘unprecedented’ – 1970’s droughts blamed on ‘global cooling’
AMS Journal study finds California drought is ‘not unprecedented’ over past 440 years: 9 other droughts as bad or worse
E&E News on 2012 U.S. drought: ‘For the scientists who take the long view of history, it’s merely a climatological blip’ — 1930s ‘Dust Bowl & 1988 both eclipse 2012 drought, scientists say’
NOAA Study: Causes of Calif. drought are natural, not man-made
Flashback 1976: Climatologists Blamed California Drought On ‘Global Cooling’ - 'In 1976, climatologists said that that global cooling caused drought and fires in California, and produced catastrophic erratic weather globally.'
E&E News on 2012 U.S. drought: ‘For the scientists who take the long view of history, it’s merely a climatological blip’ — 1930s ‘Dust Bowl & 1988 both eclipse 2012 drought, scientists say’
NOAA Study: Causes of Calif. drought are natural, not man-made
Flashback 1976: Climatologists Blamed California Drought On ‘Global Cooling’ - 'In 1976, climatologists said that that global cooling caused drought and fires in California, and produced catastrophic erratic weather globally.'
Climate Depot Special Report
The media is once again attempting to portray the current California drought as historically unprecedented. See: Scientists say it’s been 500 years since California has been this dry & Californian water source at 500-year low: “We
should be prepared for this type of snow drought to occur much more
frequently because of rising temperatures,” lead author Valerie Trouet, a
professor at the University of Arizona, said in a
statement. “Anthropogenic” –- or manmade –- global warming “is making
the drought more severe,” she added.
But recent peer-reviewed studies and historical data refute these drought claims.
Two new studies show that global warming is not behind California drought – there
is a gigantic warm blob in the Pacific Ocean that is fueling
California’s four-year-long drought, and it has nothing to do with
global warming. Two new studies
released in the journal “Geophysical Research Letters”, explain how
this large expanse of warm ocean water is affecting California’s weather
as well as the East Coast’s past two brutal winters. Read more here.
Other studies counter the notion that California is experiencing unprecedented drought.
AMS Journal study finds California drought is ‘not unprecedented’ over past 440 years: 9 other droughts as bad or worse – Published
in American Meteorological Society journal – Study: ‘An analysis of the
October 2013–September 2014 precipitation in the western United States
and in particular over the California-Nevada region suggests this
anomalously dry season, while extreme, is not unprecedented in
comparison with the ~120-year long instrumental record of water year
(WY, October–September) totals, and in comparison with a 407-year WY
precipitation reconstruction back to 1571. Over this longer period nine
other years are known or estimated to have been nearly as dry or drier
than WY 2014. The three-year deficit for WY’s 2012–2014, which in the
California-Nevada region exceeded the annual mean precipitation, is more
extreme but also not unprecedented, occurring three other times over
the past ~ 440 years in the reconstruction.’
NOAA Study: Causes of Calif. drought are natural, not man-made – Natural
weather patterns and climate variability, not man-made global warming,
are causing the historic drought that’s parching California, says a
study out today from federal scientists. “It’s important to note that
California’s drought, while extreme, is not an uncommon occurrence for
the state,” said Richard Seager, report lead author and professor with
Columbia University’s Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory. The report,
“Causes and Predictability of the 2011-14 California Drought,” was
sponsored by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
California
drought: Past dry periods have lasted more than 200 years, scientists
say – ‘The state has been parched for much longer stretches before that
163-year historical period began’ – Scientists who study the West’s
long-term climate patterns say the state has been parched for much
longer stretches before that 163-year historical period began. Through
studies of tree rings, sediment and other natural evidence, researchers
have documented multiple droughts in California that lasted 10 or 20
years in a row during the past 1,000 years — compared to the mere
three-year duration of the current dry spell. The two most severe
megadroughts make the Dust Bowl of the 1930s look tame: a 240-year-long
drought that started in 850 and, 50 years after the conclusion of that
one, another that stretched at least 180 years.’
E&E
News on 2012 U.S. drought: ‘For the scientists who take the long view
of history, it’s merely a climatological blip’ — 1930s ‘Dust Bowl &
1988 both eclipse 2012 drought, scientists say’ – ‘Scientists say
[2012] drought is practically embryonic compared with severity &
extent of others in America’s past…The Dust Bowl held on for as many as 8
years in some parts of Great Plains, with successive dry spells hitting
in 1934, 1936 & 1939-1940. The multiyear drought of 1950s began in
SW but eventually spread to cover 10 states before it ebbed in 1957. The
current drought, in contrast, is just about 2 months old’
In addition, many other peer-‘reviewed studies and data refute the notion of unprecedented drought in California or elsewhere.
Extreme
weather failing to follow ‘global warming’ predictions: Hurricanes,
Tornadoes, Droughts, Floods, Wildfires, all see no trend or declining
trends – Extreme weather at or near historic lows.
New Research Confirms Human CO2 Not Causing A Global Drought Increase – ‘Droughts in the U.S. are more frequent and more intense during COLDER periods’
New paper debunked: Claims AGW pushed the ‘Western US toward the driest period in 1,000 years’ – The
claim that AGW has “pushed the Western US toward the driest period in
1,000 years” is not supported by the proxy data shown in the paper. In
addition, the modeling claim that AGW will cause “unprecedented risk of
drought in the 21st century” is entirely based upon overheated climate
models which have been falsified at confidence levels exceeding 98%.
Climatologist
Dr. John Christy in testimony to Congress: ‘Extreme events, like the
recent U.S. drought, will continue to occur, with or without human
causation’ — ‘These recent U.S. ‘extremes’ were exceeded in previous
decades’ — ‘The expression of ‘worse than we thought’ climate change as
documented in [James] Hansen’s OpEd does not stand up to scrutiny’
Prof.
Pielke Jr. on new Nature drought study: ‘It means that a widely
accepted and oft-repeated consensus position expressed in IPCC 2007 now
appears to have been incorrect’ — Pielke Jr.: ‘This should not be
unexpected as a consensus position is a snapshot of perspectives, and in
science, perspectives can change based on new evidence and study…This
places drought into a category with tropical cyclones, floods, tornadoes
& other phenomena where the evidence does not support claims that
things are progressively getting worse — with more frequent and intense
extreme events on climate time scales’
Prof.
Pielke Jr. on new Nature drought study: ‘Once again the lesson is that
if you are looking for a signal of human-caused climate change, it is
best not to look at such extremes’ — Pielke Jr.:’There is very little evidence to support claims that the influence of such changes can be observed
in the observational record of extreme events. Advocates who justify action on climate change by appeals to the latest extreme event go well beyond what science can support, and in the process undercut the very cause that they are advocating for’
in the observational record of extreme events. Advocates who justify action on climate change by appeals to the latest extreme event go well beyond what science can support, and in the process undercut the very cause that they are advocating for’
Nature paper: Global droughts unchanged in 60 years: ‘Worldwide drought is about the same now as it was in 1950′
— ‘Researchers finally accounting for fact that warmer world usually
means more evaporation (especially from oceans) & thus more rain’ —
‘How many images have we seen of drought-stricken cracked land, or been
told this is future?…Since end of WWII humans have produced 85% of all
their CO2 emissions, but here is a new study showing that for all those
emissions, & for all that warming, droughts back then were just as
bad globally as they are today’
Prof.
Roger Pielke Jr.: Over the climate time scales ‘droughts have, for the
most part, become shorter, less frequent, and cover a smaller portion of
the U. S. over the last century’ — ‘Some places have become dryer,
others wetter, and not much confidence in asserting the presence of any
trends at the global scale.’ — Pielke Jr. summarizing the bottom-line
conclusions of two of the most recent major scientific assessments of
extreme events and climate change, one by the US govt. released in 2008
then reaffirmed in the CCSP Unified Synthesis under the Obama Admin.,
and the 2nd from the UN IPCC.
Article in Nature says extreme weather events can’t currently be attributed to global warming
— An editorial published in the current issue of nature notes that
‘Better models are needed before exceptional events can be reliably
linked to global warming.’ — ‘One critic argued that, given the
insufficient observational data and the coarse and mathematically
far-from-perfect climate models used to generate attribution claims,
they are unjustifiably speculative, basically unverifiable and better
not made at all.’
1974: Flooding, Drought, Crop Loss And Mild Winters Blamed On Global Cooling:
TIME Magazine June 1974: ‘Another Ice Age?': ‘In Africa, drought
continues for the sixth consecutive year, adding terribly to the toll of
famine victims. During 1972 record rains in parts of the U.S.,
Pakistan and Japan caused some of the worst flooding in centuries. In Canada’s wheat belt, a particularly chilly and rainy spring has delayed planting and may well bring a disappointingly small harvest’
Pakistan and Japan caused some of the worst flooding in centuries. In Canada’s wheat belt, a particularly chilly and rainy spring has delayed planting and may well bring a disappointingly small harvest’
Scientists reject notion that human-caused climate change led to war in Syria – ‘Human-influenced climate change impact on the drought conditions was almost certainly too small to have mattered’
2014 Study: ‘The humanitarian crisis of the late 2000s largely predated the drought period.Focusing
on external factors like drought and climate change in the context of
the Syrian uprising is counterproductive as it diverts attention from
more fundamental political and economic motives behind the protests and
shifts responsibility away from the Syrian government.
Study: Drought Of 1934 In North America, During The Dust Bowl, Was The Worst In Thousand Years – ‘The
drought of 1934 in North America was the driest and the most widespread
of the last millennium, according to a new study based on a
reconstruction of North America’s history of drought over the last 1,000
years. – Study published in the Oct. 17 edition of Geophysical Research
Letters by researchers from NASA and Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory.
“It was the worst by a large margin, falling pretty far outside the
normal range of variability that we see in the record,” Ben Cook, a
climate scientist at NASA and the study’s lead author, said in a
statement.
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