Forest fires may produce as much CO2 as half of all fossil fuels burned
“In
October and November 1997, the haze from fires in Indonesia spread as
far the Philippines to the north, Sri Lanka to the west, and northern
Australia to the south. In the Malaysian state of Sarawak on Borneo,
there was a pollution index reading of 860.” | Annette Gartland
Other researchers, der Werf et al 2004, looked at fires around the world during the El Nino year and estimated that 2.1 Gt of carbon was released — which explained 66% ± 24% of the extra CO2 emitted globally that year.[2] Bowman et al estimate fires produced emissions around 50% of the size of human emissions.[3] Murry Salby argues that ocean temperatures drive CO2 levels and the warmth of the El Nino in 1997 released more CO2, but here a lot of the extra CO2 released that year looks like it comes from fires.
To put all this in perspective, total human emissions of carbon in a year is about 8 to 10 Gt. Australian emissions are a mere 100 mt*. Indonesia’s are 150 mt, while China’s are 2.5 Gt and increasing by 100mt each year. China is adding emissions equivalent to the entire Australian output each year. India puts out 500 mt, increasing by 50 mt each year. Shaving a mere 5% of the Australian output which is a mere 1.16% of the total output, seems as futile as it gets. How much should we pay?
— Jo
We didn’t start the fire (with thanks to Billy Joel)
The southern hemisphere is the innocent hemisphere in the rise in atmospheric CO2.This statement can be seen by looking at the estimates of fossil fuel emissions from the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC), an agency of the US government.
For the year 2010 CDIAC estimates 8,900 million tonnes of carbon (Mt C) in CO2 was produced world wide. Only 406 Mt C was produced in the Southern Hemisphere below a latitude of 120S. This is only 4.7% of the total global emissions.
These emissions are spread across three continents with Australia being the smallest continental contributor. So to put this in perspective, the annual increase of fossil fuel emissions from China is equal to Australia’s total annual emissions while the annual increase from Indian fossil fuel emissions is half of Australia’s total emissions.
Continent |
Fossil fuel emissions Mt C
|
% of global total
|
South Africa |
138.0
|
1.60%
|
Australia |
100.4
|
1.16%
|
New Zealand |
8.7
|
0.10%
|
South America |
159.0
|
1.84%
|
Total |
406.1
|
4.71%
|
The Bowman review 2009:
Currently, all sources of fire
(landscape and biomass) cause CO2 emissions equal to 50% of those
stemming from fossil-fuel combustion (2 to 4 Pg C year−1 versus 7.2 Pg C
year−1) (7, 40, 41).
There is an imbalance between Northern and Southern Hemispheres. The
highest concentrations of atmospheric CO2 occur in the far North
measured at Alert in Canada, 820N and Point Barrow on the north shore of Alaska 710N.
The figure below shows the average difference of atmospheric CO2 levels
at latitudes greater than that of the South Pole from 1994 to 2014.The conclusion is that not only are Southern Hemisphere and, in particular, Australia very small contributors to fossil fuel emissions but also the recipients of the overflow of CO2 from the Northern Hemisphere..
So will efforts to reduce CO2 concentrations from Southern Hemisphere continents have any effect on the Northern Hemisphere? Our only part in this is a very small contribution to the southern sinks of CO2 that might displace CO2 from the North..
So if there is a problem, it is a problem of the North.
REFERENCES
[1^] Page, S et al (20o2) The amount of carbon released from peat and forest fires in Indonesia during 1997, Letters to Nature, vol 420, p 61
[2^] der Werf et al (2004) Continental-Scale Partitioning of Fire Emissions During the 1997 to 2001 El Niño/La Niña Period, Science: Vol. 303 no. 5654 pp. 73-76 DOI: 10.1126/science.1090753
[3^] Bowman et al (2009) Fire in the Earth System. Science Vol. 324 no. 5926 pp. 481-484, DOI: 10.1126/science.1163886
*Figures here are in pure carbon terms. If we talk in terms of CO2
emissions rather than pure C, the numbers are 44/12 times higher.
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