Why the Democratic party is doomed:
1. The Democratic establishment has vortexed the party's narrative
energy into hysteria about Russia (a state with a lower GDP than South
Korea). It is starkly obvious that were it not for this hysteria
insurgent narratives of the type promoted by Bernie Sanders would
rapidly dominate the party's base and its relationship with the public.
Without the "We didn't lose--Russia won" narrative the party's elite and
those who exist under its patronage would be purged for being
electorally incompetent and ideologically passé. The collapse of the
Democratic vote over the last eight years is at every level, city,
state, Congressional and presidential. It corresponds to the domination
of Democratic decision making structures by a professional, educated,
urban service class and to the shocking decline in health and longevity
of white males, who together with their wives, daughters, mothers, etc.
comprise 63% of the US population (2010 census). Unlike other
industrialized countries US male real wages (all ethnic groups combined)
have not increased since 1973. In trying to stimulate engagement of
non-whites and women Democrats have aggressively promoted identity
politics. This short-term tactic has led to the inevitable strategic
catastrophe of the white and male super majorities responding by seeing
themselves as an unserviced political identity group. Consequently in
response to sotto-voce suggestions that Trump would service this group
53% of all men voted for Trump, 53% of white women and 63% of white men
(PEW Research).
2. The Trump-Russia collusion narrative is a political dead end. Despite
vast resources, enormous incentives and a year of investigation,
Democratic senators who have seen the classified intelligence at the CIA
such as Senator Feinstein (as recently as March) are forced to admit
that there is no evidence of collusion [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BS5amEq7Fc].
Without collusion, we are left with the Democratic establishment
blaming the public for being repelled by the words of Hillary Clinton
and the Democratic party establishment. Is it a problem that the public
discovered what Hillary Clinton said to Goldman Sachs and what party
elites said about fixing the DNC primaries against Bernie Sanders? A
party elite that maintains that it is the "crime of the century" for the
public and their membership to discover how they behave and what they
believe invites scorn.
3. The Democrat establishment needs the support of the security sector
and media barons to push this diversionary conspiracy agenda, so they
ingratiate themselves with these two classes leading to further
perceptions that the Democrats act on behalf of an entrenched power
elite. Eventually, Trump or Pence will 'merge' with the security state
leaving Democrats in a vulnerable position having talked up two deeply
unaccountable traditionally Republican-aligned organizations, in
particular, the CIA and the FBI, who will be turned against them. Other
than domestic diversion and geopolitical destabilization the primary
result of the Russian narrative is increased influence and funding for
the security sector which is primarily GOP owned or aligned.
4. The twin result is to place the primary self-interest concerns of
most Americans, class competition, freedom from crime and ill health and
the empowerment of their children, into the shadows and project the
Democrats as close to DC and media elites. This has further cemented
Trump's anti-establishment positioning and fettered attacks on Trump's
run away embrace of robber barons, dictators and gravitas-free buffoons
like the CIA's Mike Pompeo.
5. GOP/Trump has open goals everywhere: broken promises, inequality,
economy, healthcare, militarization, Goldman Sachs, Saudi Arabia &
cronyism, but the Democrat establishment can't kick these goals since
the Russian collusion narrative has consumed all its energy and it is
entangled with many of the same groups behind Trump's policies.
6. The Democratic base should move to start a new party since the party
elite shows no signs that they will give up power. This can be done
quickly and cheaply as a result of the internet and databases of
peoples' political preferences. This reality is proven in practice with
the rapid construction of the Macron, Sanders and Trump campaigns from
nothing. The existing Democratic party may well have negative
reputational capital, stimulating a Macron-style clean slate approach.
Regardless, in the face of such a threat, the Democratic establishment
will either concede control or, as in the case of Macron, be eliminated
by the new structure.
Dreams & Desires
7 months ago
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