Grassley-Graham Memo Affirms Nunes Memo — Media Yawns
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Sen. Chuck Grassley speaks with reporters on Capitol Hill in December
2017. (Reuters file photo: Aaron. P. Bernstein)
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by Andrew C. McCarthy February 10, 2018 4:00 AM
@AndrewCMcCarthy
We need a full-blown investigation of how the FISA court came to grant
warrants to spy on Carter Page.
In a word, the Grassley-Graham memo is shocking. Yet, the press barely
notices.
Rest assured: If a Republican administration had used unverifiable
hearsay from a patently suspect agent of the Republican presidential
candidate to gull the FISA court into granting a warrant to spy on an
associate of the Democratic nominee’s campaign, it would be covered as
the greatest political scandal in a half-century.
Instead, it was the other way around. The Grassley-Graham memo
corroborates the claims in the Nunes memo: The Obama Justice Department
and FBI used anonymously sourced, Clinton-campaign generated innuendo to
convince the FISA court to issue surveillance warrants against Carter
Page, and in doing so, they concealed the Clinton campaign’s role.
Though the Trump campaign had cut ties with Page shortly before the
first warrant was issued in October 2016, the warrant application was
based on wild allegations of a corrupt conspiracy between the Trump
campaign and the Kremlin. Moreover, the warrant meant the FBI could
seize not only Page’s forward-going communications but any past emails
and texts he may have stored — i.e., his Trump campaign communications.
With its verification by the Grassley-Graham memo, the Nunes memo now
has about a thousand times more corroboration than the Steele dossier,
the basis of the heinous allegations used by the Justice Department and
FBI to get the FISA warrants.
What the Grassley-Graham memo tells us is that the Nunes memo, for all
the hysteria about it, was tame. The Grassley-Graham memo tells us that
we need not only a full-blown investigation of what possessed the Obama
administration to submit such shoddy applications to the FISA court, but
of how a judge — or perhaps as many as four judges — rationalized
signing the warrants.
We need full disclosure — the warrants, the applications, the court
proceedings. No more games.
Senators Charles Grassley of Iowa and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina
are senior Republicans on the Judiciary Committee (which Grassley
chairs, while Graham chairs a relevant subcommittee). As we’ve
previously detailed (in a two-part series, here and here), they composed
their memo in support of a criminal referral recommending that dossier
author Christopher Steele be investigated for making false statements to
the FBI (which is a felony). Initially, the senators’ memo was
withheld, then it was released with extensive redactions because its
contents were largely classified — covering submissions to the FISA
court, the secret tribunal established by the 1978 Foreign Intelligence
Surveillance Act. But following the release of the Nunes memo — the memo
prepared by Republican majority staff of the House Permanent Select
Committee on Intelligence led by Representative Devin Nunes (R., Calif.)
— Senators Grassley and Graham stepped up their admirable efforts to
get more information unsealed . . . so that the public can see it, even
if the press prefers not to cover it.
–– ADVERTISEMENT ––
Last Friday, the Nunes memo asserted that the FBI and Justice Department
had significantly relied on the unverified Steele dossier to obtain
FISA warrants on Page. In the week that followed, House Intelligence
Committee Democrats and their media echo chamber bleated about how
things had been taken out of context, with some suggesting that there
was plenty of other evidence to establish probable cause that Page was
acting as a Russian agent. (See my column last Sunday responding to
claims by Representative Jerrold Nadler, here.) It was even implied that
Nunes & Co. had deceptively reported committee testimony by the
FBI’s then deputy director Andrew McCabe that the Steele dossier was
essential to this probable-cause showing.
We’re not hearing much of that now. No wonder. Here’s the
Grassley-Graham memo on the critical first FISA application, the basis
for the warrant granted on October 21, 2016:
The bulk of the application consists of allegations against Page
that were disclosed to the FBI by Mr. Steele and are also outlined in
the Steele dossier. The application appears to contain no additional
information corroborating the dossier allegations against Mr. Page,
although it does cite to a news article that appears to be sourced to
Mr. Steele’s dossier.
We’ll come to the news article — the stupefying circular attempt to
corroborate Steele with Steele. For the moment, suffice it to say that
the senators have confirmed the Nunes memo’s account, except with much
more information than House Republicans were able to include.
Information such as this:
When asked at the March 2017 briefing [of Judiciary Committee
leaders] why the FBI relied on the dossier in the FISA applications
absent meaningful corroboration — and in light of the highly political
motives surrounding its creation — then-Director [James] Comey stated
that the FBI included the dossier allegations about Carter Page in the
FISA applications because Mr. Steele himself was considered reliable due
to his past work with the Bureau. (Emphasis added.)
On this score, Grassley and Graham quote directly from the warrant
applications: “Based on [Steele’s] previous reporting history with the
FBI whereby [Steele] provided reliable information to the FBI, the FBI
believes [Steele’s] reporting to be credible.” (Emphasis added.)
I cannot stress enough how irregular this is. It is why there is
abundant reason to demand that the judge explain his or her rationale
for granting the warrant.
As I outlined at greater length last week (here, in section C), in
applying for a warrant, the government must establish the reliability of
the informants who witnessed the alleged facts claimed to support a
probable-cause finding. Steele was not one of those witnesses. He is not
the source of the facts. He is the purveyor of the sources — anonymous
Russians, much of whose alleged information is based on hearsay,
sometimes multiple steps removed from direct knowledge. Steele has not
been in Russia since his cover as a British spy was blown nearly 20
years ago. He has sources, who have sources, who have sources . . . and
so on. None of his information is better than third-hand; most of it is
more attenuated than that.
For purposes of justifying a warrant, it does not matter that, in a
totally unrelated investigation (involving corruption at FIFA, the
international soccer organization), the FBI judged that the hearsay
information provided by Steele, then a British agent, checked out. In
his anti-Trump research, Steele could not verify his sources.
Furthermore, he was now a former foreign intelligence officer who was
then working for private clients — which is the advocacy business, not
the search-for-truth business.
A judge would need to know whether Steele’s sources were reliable,
not whether Steele himself was reliable.
Let that sink in, then think about this contrast: No actual FBI agent,
no matter how renowned, would be able to get a judicial warrant based
solely on his own reliability as an investigator. Jim Comey, despite
having a résumé geometrically more impressive than Steele’s, including
Senate confirmations to some of federal law-enforcement’s loftiest
positions, would not be given a warrant based on representations to the
court that the FBI, the Justice Department, the president, and the
Senate all attested to his impeccable reliability.
The only reliability that counts is the reliability of the factual
informants, not of the investigator who purports to channel the
informants. The judge wants to know why the court should believe the
specific factual claims: Was the informant truly in a position to
witness what is alleged, and if so, does the informant have a track
record of providing verified information? The track record of the
investigator who locates the sources is beside the point. A judge would
need to know whether Steele’s sources were reliable, not whether Steele
himself was reliable.
This is not esoterica. In the investigations biz, this is so basic that
to call it “Warrants 101” doesn’t do it justice. If you don’t have
witnesses with verifiable, first-hand knowledge, you don’t have
anything. Without them, to borrow Director Comey’s notorious dictum, no
reasonable prosecutor would bring a warrant application to a federal
judge, and no reasonable judge would issue a warrant.
If there is no credible sourcing for the factual allegations in the
warrant application, that is a probable-cause deficiency that could not
have been cured by the reputation of the purveyor of the sources, no
matter how sterling. That said, it is obvious that the less identifiable
and reliable the informants are, the greater is the government’s
obligation to be transparent in conveying the investigator’s potential
biases. The Obama administration’s malfeasance on this point is
breathtaking.
Graham and Grassley recount:
The FBI noted to a vaguely limited extent the political origins of
the dossier. In footnote 8 [of the first warrant application, apparently
repeated in the subsequent applications] the FBI stated that the
dossier information was compiled pursuant to the direction of a law firm
who had hired an “identified U.S. person” — now known as Glenn Simpson
of Fusion GPS.
The fact that Fusion GPS’s ultimate client was the Clinton campaign was
never disclosed in any of the warrant applications, which ran well
beyond June 2017, when the last 90-day extension was granted. Patently,
so much struggle and circumlocution went into crafting this “vaguely
limited” footnote that we can only conclude the decision not to disclose
the Clinton connection was the subject of much deliberation.
The Clinton campaign’s sponsorship was not publicly disclosed until
October 2017. Before then, it is virtually certain that, to the extent
the FISA court and Congress were told of the “political origins” of the
dossier, these were benignly presented as bipartisan concerns about
Donald Trump. That is, the Steele dossier phase of Fusion’s anti-Trump
project was conflated with the earlier phase, when — as Simpson has
testified — Fusion did documentary research on Trump during the
Republican primaries for a conservative media outlet. It was not
disclosed that, by the time Steele was hired to do the dossier, the
project was backed exclusively by the Democratic party and the Clinton
campaign.
Manifestly, that was a material fact. If a prosecutor withheld an
arguably exculpatory fact of this degree of significance, it could get a
conviction reversed. As some have observed, a public company would
likely face a stock fraud prosecution for concealing a fact so patently
material from its required SEC reports.
The Clinton-campaign tie should have been disclosed from the beginning.
Now, consider what happened as the surveillance continued for the better
part of a year.
In late October 2016, shortly after the first warrant was issued, the
FBI terminated its relationship with Steele because he lied to the
Bureau about his contacts with the media. But the Justice Department did
not report this to the FISA court. Instead, when the first warrant
expired in January 2017, the FBI and Justice Department sought its
renewal by, again, relying on the credibility of the guy they’d booted
for lying. In another lawyerly footnote, they told the FISA court that
Steele had been terminated not because he lied but because he was guilty
of “unauthorized disclosure of information to the press.”
But that was not the half of it. Steele’s agreement with the FBI was
that he would not communicate with the press. He made that agreement and
then communicated with the press anyway — which showed he was
unreliable, notwithstanding the FBI’s continued insistence to the
contrary. He hadn’t just flouted the agreement by speaking to the press,
though; he had clearly lied about doing so.
By mid-September 2016, at Fusion’s direction and even before the first
FISA warrant was issued, Steele had spoken with a plethora of
Clinton-friendly press outlets. As a result, Yahoo News published a news
story by Michael Isikoff on September 23, which reported precisely the
information that Steele had given to the FBI about Page: that he’d
supposedly met in Moscow with two top Russian operatives and discussed
the lifting of sanctions against Russia.
How could the FBI and Justice Department not have known that Steele was
the source for this story? Isikoff explicitly stated that his account of
Page’s activities was set forth in “intelligence reports” that were in
the possession of “U.S. officials.” Plainly, the FBI was privy to
intelligence reports in the government’s possession — the purported
“intelligence” reports Steele had provided as well as any others. Had
there been another intel report from a different source who happened to
provide the same exact information Steele had provided, not only would
the FBI have known about it; the Bureau would have touted it to the FISA
court as critical corroboration of Steele’s anonymous sources.
To the contrary, the FISA court was told: “The FBI does not believe that
[Steele] directly provided this information to the press.” I’ve
emphasized “directly” to highlight how curious this assertion is.
Ostensibly, the Bureau seems to have been saying that Steele was not the
source — meaning that there must have been another source, yet one the
Bureau had not managed to identify even though this mystery source was
described in intelligence reports accessible to the Bureau.
On the other hand, what does “directly” mean? By using that qualifier,
was the Bureau conceding that Steele might have provided information to
the press indirectly – i.e., through an intermediary? But that would
make no sense: What would be the point of citing the Isikoff article as
corroboration for Steele if Steele had been Isikoff’s source, even if
indirectly?
It is not good, one way or the other. Either Steele lied to the FBI
about speaking to the press, or the FBI consciously avoided learning
that Steele had spoken to Isikoff and then speculated to the court that
Steele was probably not Isikoff’s source. Either way, Steele’s
credibility was a huge issue. That put in doubt the FBI’s vouching for
his reliability, which in turn made disclosure of the Clinton campaign’s
sponsorship of his dossier even more imperative.
Or how about this: Steele gave a published interview to Mother Jones in
late October 2016, after promising not to speak to the media. In trying
to soft-peddle the palpable unreliability Steele had thus exhibited, the
FBI rationalized that he was acting not out of dishonesty but in a fit
of pique over Director Comey’s pre-election announcement that the FBI
had reopened the Clinton emails investigation.
This, of course, is the announcement that Clinton partisans blame for
their candidate’s loss. So, according to the Bureau, Steele’s
pro-Clinton partisanship induced him to such outrage over Comey’s
announcement that he was moved to violate his agreement with the FBI.
Wouldn’t you think it might then occur to the Bureau and the Justice
Department that maybe, just maybe, they ought to let the court in on
that teeny detail about the Clinton campaign’s being the sponsor of
Steele’s dossier?
Nope. Instead they kept mum and they kept telling the court Steele was
perfectly reliable.
In fact, they kept telling the FISA court he was reliable even after
Steele himself admitted to a British court that his dossier wasn’t at
all reliable.
What’s that? Am I kidding? No.
Truth is a defense to libel. Suffice it to say, it was not Steele’s
defense.
Even though there was still no meaningful corroboration of Steele’s
sources after months of investigation, even though Steele had lied to
them, the FBI and Justice Department represented again and again, in
April and June 2017, that the FISA court could confidently bank on
Steele’s reliability. By early 2017, however, Steele was being sued for
libel in Britain, among other places, by people accused of misconduct in
the dossier.
Truth is a defense to libel. Suffice it to say, it was not Steele’s
defense.
In May 2017, as I have detailed (here), Steele was required to respond
to interrogatories. He emphasized that his dossier allegations were “raw
intelligence” that was “unverified” and “warranted investigation.” He
further described his reports as “limited intelligence” that described
mere “indications” of “possible” coordination between Trump’s campaign
and the Russian government. He was not in a position to vouch for the
accuracy of what he’d been told, he explained; he passed it along
because it needed further investigation.
Yet, far from reporting Steele’s retreat to the FISA court, Grassley and
Graham report that the FBI and Justice Department continued vouching
for the reliability of his allegations.
Beyond all that, we now learn through the senators’ memo, and some
follow-up reporting, that two longtime Clinton cronies, Cody Shearer and
Sidney Blumenthal, fed their own anti-Trump dossier to Steele, through a
State Department official, Jonathan Winer. In the fall of 2016, Steele,
while working on his Clinton-funded project, reported this
Clinton-crony information to the FBI.
Still, the FBI and Justice Department elected not to tell the FISA court
that the Clinton campaign was paying for Steele’s unverified,
unverifiable anti-Trump research.
I spent many months assuring people that nothing like this could ever
happen — that the FBI and Justice Department would not countenance the
provision to the FISA court of uncorroborated allegations of heinous
misconduct. When Trump enthusiasts accused them of rigging the process, I
countered that they probably had not even used the Steele dossier. If
the Justice Department had used it in writing a FISA warrant
application, I insisted that the FBI would independently verify any
important facts presented to the court, make any disclosures that ought
in fairness be made so the judge could evaluate the credibility of the
sources, and compellingly demonstrate probable cause before alleging
that an American was a foreign agent.
I was wrong.
— Andrew C. McCarthy is a senior fellow at the National Review Institute
and a contributing editor of National Review.
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/456287/grassley-graham-memo-affirms-nunes-memo-fisa-steele-dossier
Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/456287/grassley-graham-memo-affirms-nunes-memo-fisa-steele-dossier
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