Friday, August 6, 2021

Seth Keshel

 Seth Keshel

 I will be running out some quick stats and tidbits now that my POTUS-mentioned electoral scorecard has been completed.  Before we get into all of that, I’d like to remind you, “where there is smoke, there is fire.”

This would be an interesting series for the magicians and sorcerers of the MSM to figure out, since they’re on a debunking mission to preserve this malignant administration.

I think a number of states, both key competitive states, and not, have machined their voter rolls for the desired outcomes.  Here are some examples:

NEW HAMPSHIRE – From 2012-16, the state only added 13,000 net new registered voters.  In the past four years, they added 200,000, pushing the state a couple points to the left, which would make an analyst looking at party registration shifts assume “NH moves left.”  GOP registered 37k, but out-registered 2:1 by Dems overall, with another 97k Indy/Other.  So, 1/5 of a million new registered in a state of 1.37mm.  For perspective, neighboring VT, with close to half of the population of NH, registered just 34k net new voters (also probably heavy based on county analysis) – meaning NH is 3x higher in net new registered voters if we set populations to equal.  These are your phantoms.

ALASKA – From 2012-16, just 23,000 net new registered voters, split 51% for a party and 49% Indy/other.  From 2016-20, 3x the amount (68,000), at 4.5% R, 3.5% D, and NINETY-TWO PERCENT Indy/Other.  This forces most of their voting districts left thanks to the amount of indies diluting the math, suggesting a left lurch to an analyst.  You may remember that AK took 3 days to call even with the artificially shortened 10% margin.  I believe it was the 3-electoral vote putter in the proverbial golf bag in case Biden got hung up at 268 electoral votes.

CALIFORNIA – San Francisco didn’t seem to care much, expanding the rolls by just 9,000 voters (1.8%); but Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and San Diego were all about this election, with between 215k to 297k net new registered voters.
Previous highs since 2008:
Orange: 75k
Riverside: 106k
San Bernardino: 36k
San Diego: 90k

A deeper look into CA has me questioning my own assessment of the state, as Trump improved tremendously in most of the major counties in the state, especially San Diego, LA, Orange, Riverside, and San Bernardino.  CA, as you know, is vital for the national popular vote propaganda piece for Dems, and somehow manages to turn everything around it blue and still double its own Dem votes in two decades with a now stagnant population growth.  Can’t be both.

ARIZONA
Maricopa:
2004-08: +179k (+64k D, +16k R)
2008-12: +87k (-34k D, - 6k R)
2012-16: +344k (+108k D, +86k R)
2016-20: +433k (+196k D, +148k R)

Pima:
2004-08: +49k (+21k D, +10k R)
2008-12: -1k (-13k D, -4k R)
2012-16: +48k (+21k D, +9k R)
2016-20: +96k (+52k D, +22k R)

Katie Hobbs is almost certainly stuffing voter rolls with phantoms, not just with Maricopa, but Pima, too.  AZ needs to do a thorough canvassing – we have a historically red state with historic R gains in registration, that has been growing a lot for decades, with numbers this lopsided.  Maricopa looks like it may have also been manipulated in 2016.

OTHERS
There are other states with bloated rolls, like Florida and Texas. CO doesn’t show much movement in the two parties but tons of new registered indies/others, along with WA and OR. PA and NC appear to have let their party rolls run clean, showing a tremendous beating getting ready to be done by Trump, but pulled things off differently.  

Phantoms.

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