Poll Farce: Pew Oversamples Democrats to Boost Obama
On what alternate universe will Democrats enjoy a D +19 turnout advantage over Republicans on election day? Well, that would be Planet Pew:
The latest national survey by the
Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted July
16-26, 2012, among 2,508 adults, including 1,956 registered voters,
finds that, in keeping with his favorability advantage, Obama continues
to hold a sizable lead over Romney in the election contest. Currently,
51% say they support Obama or lean toward him, while 41% support or lean
toward Romney.
Except….
Sample Size:
459 Republicans
813 Democrats
599 Independents
In the best election season Democrats
have enjoyed since Nixon resigned, 2008, the Democrat advantage was only
D+8, but Pew is now attempting to hustle us into believing the turnout
this year is going to be D +19.
The internals make even less sense.
According to the same Pew poll that has Obama up by 10 nationally, he's
only ahead by 4 in the swings states, but he's losing to Romney with independents 45-43%.
As if that doesn’t make Pew look ridiculous enough, The Economist released a new national poll today with a slightly less absurd sample of D +10, but they show Romney in the lead, 46-44%.
And this is the third intentionally skewed media-poll dropped on us in just a few days. Last week NBC dropped a D +11, and just a couple of days ago, Quinnipiac and The New York Times dropped three swing state polls with absurdly skewed partisan samples.
Both showed Obama in the lead and both allowed the media to give our
failed president more than a few positive news-cycles and Romney all
kinds of phony concern-trolling.
And yet, today, Rasmussen has Romney up
by two nationally, and Gallup only has Romney behind by two. Rasmussen
uses the tighter screen of likely voters and Gallup uses the less
reliable screen of registered voters.
I know who I believe.
Moreover, Gallup just released a survey
that shows Democrat voter enthusiasm is at its lowest point in years,
and Republican enthusiasm is a full 12 points higher. But according to these whack jobs at Pew, Democrats will still almost triple their advantage in 2012.
So what's going on here?
Well, it's very simple.
This is nothing more than an act of
intentional juicing to keep The Narrative alive that says Obama is
winning and that Romney can't get his act together. You see, it works
like this…
The only way our failed president can
win is if Romney is disqualified; if voters don’t see him as an
acceptable alternative. So if the media and their pollsters can bedevil
him with nonsense -- fabricated gaffes, audacious lies,
D +19 sample sizes -- it keeps Romney on his heels, on defense, and
smothers his ability to get his message out. In other words, it makes
Romney look incompetent, and if Romney looks incompetent, the American
people won’t hire him, no matter how much they want to fire Obama -- and
they are desperate to fire Obama, believe me.
The timing of this juiced poll is also
likely not an accident. Tomorrow the July job numbers come out, so what
better way to distract from what will likely be bad news for Obama than
with an absurdly skewed poll that allows the corrupt media to squirrel the job numbers and go right back to talking about Romney's inability to run a competent campaign? A perfect pivot…
Gee, Andrea, with these lousy job numbers, Romney really should be ahead, but he just can’t get his act together.
My friend Guy Benson of Townhall made a great point during a segment we just finished recording for his Sunday radio show
-- that a heck of a lot more people are going to see and hear headlines
that read "Obama Up By 10" than the analysis exposing the poll as a
farce.
So beyond The Narrative-plus Obama wins
in the media over the next few days, Pew's cooking of the books also
keeps Obama artificially ahead in the Real Clear Politics poll of polls,
gives the media something to distract from tomorrow's jobs numbers, and
demoralizes Republicans unaware of the juiced internals.
Win-win-win-win, baby!
There's nothing Obama can’t accomplish with the Media-Poll Propaganda Machine dialed up to 10.
NOTE: I called and left a message to get a comment from Pew. As of this writing no one has called me back.
Follow John Nolte on Twitter @NolteNC
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