Here's a good article about hydroxychloroquine....
By Harvey A. Risch, MD, PhD
Professor of Epidemiology
Yale School of Public Health
As professor of epidemiology at Yale School of Public Health, I have
authored over 300 peer-reviewed publications and currently hold senior
positions on the editorial boards of several leading journals. I am
usually accustomed to advocating for positions within the mainstream of
medicine, so have been flummoxed to find that, in the midst of a crisis,
I am fighting for a treatment that the data fully support but which,
for reasons having nothing to do with a correct understanding of the
science, has been pushed to the sidelines. As a result, tens of
thousands of patients with COVID-19 are dying unnecessarily.
Fortunately, the situation can be reversed easily and quickly.
I am
referring, of course, to the medication hydroxychloroquine. When this
inexpensive oral medication is given very early in the course of
illness, before the virus has had time to multiply beyond control, it
has shown to be highly effective, especially when given in combination
with the antibiotics azithromycin or doxycycline and the nutritional
supplement zinc.
On May 27, I published an article in the American
Journal of Epidemiology (AJE) entitled, "Early Outpatient Treatment of
Symptomatic, High-Risk COVID-19 Patients that Should be Ramped-Up
Immediately as Key to the Pandemic Crisis." That article, published in
the world's leading epidemiology journal, analyzed five studies,
demonstrating clear-cut and significant benefits to treated patients,
plus other very large studies that showed the medication safety.
Physicians who have been using these medications in the face of
widespread skepticism have been truly heroic. They have done what the
science shows is best for their patients, often at great personal risk. I
myself know of two doctors who have saved the lives of hundreds of
patients with these medications, but are now fighting state medical
boards to save their licenses and reputations. The cases against them
are completely without scientific merit.
Since publication of my May 27 article, seven more studies have
demonstrated similar benefit. In a lengthy follow-up letter, also
published by AJE, I discuss these seven studies and renew my call for
the immediate early use of hydroxychloroquine in high-risk patients.
These seven studies include: an additional 400 high-risk patients
treated by Dr. Vladimir Zelenko, with zero deaths; four studies totaling
almost 500 high-risk patients treated in nursing homes and clinics
across the U.S., with no deaths; a controlled trial of more than 700
high-risk patients in Brazil, with significantly reduced risk of
hospitalization and two deaths among 334 patients treated with
hydroxychloroquine; and another study of 398 matched patients in France,
also with significantly reduced hospitalization risk. Since my letter
was published, even more doctors have reported to me their completely
successful use.
My original article in the AJE is available free
online, and I encourage readers—especially physicians, nurses, physician
assistants and associates, and respiratory therapists—to search the
title and read it. My follow-up letter is linked there to the original
paper.
Beyond these studies of individual patients, we have seen
what happens in large populations when these drugs are used. These have
been "natural experiments." In the northern Brazil state of ParĂ¡,
COVID-19 deaths were increasing exponentially. On April 6, the public
hospital network purchased 75,000 doses of azithromycin and 90,000 doses
of hydroxychloroquine. Over the next few weeks, authorities began
distributing these medications to infected individuals. Even though new
cases continued to occur, on May 22 the death rate started to plummet
and is now about one-eighth what it was at the peak.
A reverse
natural experiment happened in Switzerland. On May 27, the Swiss
national government banned outpatient use of hydroxychloroquine for
COVID-19. Around June 10, COVID-19 deaths increased four-fold and
remained elevated. On June 11, the Swiss government revoked the ban, and
on June 23 the death rate reverted to what it had been beforehand.
People who die from COVID-19 live about three to five weeks from the
start of symptoms, which makes the evidence of a causal relation in
these experiments strong. Both episodes suggest that a combination of
hydroxychloroquine and its companion medications reduces mortality and
should be immediately adopted as the new standard of care in high-risk
patients.
Why has hydroxychloroquine been disregarded?
First, as
all know, the medication has become highly politicized. For many, it is
viewed as a marker of political identity, on both sides of the
political spectrum. Nobody needs me to remind them that this is not how
medicine should proceed. We must judge this medication strictly on the
science. When doctors graduate from medical school, they formally
promise to make the health and life of the patient their first
consideration, without biases of race, religion, nationality, social
standing—or political affiliation. Lives must come first.
Second,
the drug has not been used properly in many studies. Hydroxychloroquine
has shown major success when used early in high-risk people but, as one
would expect for an antiviral, much less success when used late in the
disease course. Even so, it has demonstrated significant benefit in
large hospital studies in Michigan and New York City when started within
the first 24 to 48 hours after admission.
In fact, as inexpensive,
oral and widely available medications, and a nutritional supplement, the
combination of hydroxychloroquine, azithromycin or doxycycline, and
zinc are well-suited for early treatment in the outpatient setting. The
combination should be prescribed in high-risk patients immediately upon
clinical suspicion of COVID-19 disease, without waiting for results of
testing. Delays in waiting before starting the medications can reduce
their efficacy.
Third, concerns have been raised by the FDA and
others about risks of cardiac arrhythmia, especially when
hydroxychloroquine is given in combination with azithromycin. The FDA
based its comments on data in its FDA Adverse Event Reporting System.
This reporting system captured up to a thousand cases of arrhythmias
attributed to hydroxychloroquine use. In fact, the number is likely
higher than that, since the reporting system, which requires physicians
or patients to initiate contact with the FDA, appreciably undercounts
drug side effects.
But what the FDA did not announce is that these
adverse events were generated from tens of millions of patients uses of
hydroxychloroquine for long periods of time, often for the chronic
treatment of lupus or rheumatoid arthritis. Even if the true rates of
arrhythmia are ten-fold higher than those reported, the harms would be
minuscule compared to the mortality occurring right now in inadequately
treated high-risk COVID-19 patients. This fact is proven by an Oxford
University study of more than 320,000 older patients taking both
hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin, who had arrhythmia excess death
rates of less than 9/100,000 users, as I discuss in my May 27 paper
cited above. A new paper in the American Journal of Medicine by
established cardiologists around the world fully agrees with this.
In the future, I believe this misbegotten episode regarding
hydroxychloroquine will be studied by sociologists of medicine as a
classic example of how extra-scientific factors overrode clear-cut
medical evidence. But for now, reality demands a clear, scientific eye
on the evidence and where it points. For the sake of high-risk patients,
for the sake of our parents and grandparents, for the sake of the
unemployed, for our economy and for our polity, especially those
disproportionally affected, we must start treating immediately.
The HiV of Western Culture
4 years ago
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