Signs that Democrats will steal the elections for the Senate majority
Signs that Democrats might be preparing to engage in voter fraud in the 2014 mid-term elections
UnSkewedPolls.com
Right now, on their Senate map without toss-ups, RCP is projecting the Senate next year to be made up of 51 Republicans, an additional independent elected from Kansas, and 46 Democrats plus two Independent-elected senators who caucus with the Democrats for a total of 48 senators in the Democrat caucus. Let's look at the key races that this projection is based on.
There are three states where RCP projects the incumbents senators are holding very slim leads, including Republican Mitch McConnell of Kentucky leading by 4.0 percent, North Carolina Democrat Kay Hagan leading by 1.4 percent and New Hampshire Democrat Jeanne Shaheen leading by 1.8 percent. Note that the two Democrats are enjoying much slimmer leads than the sole Republican incumbent among those three.
RCP is projecting that Republican candidates, who are defending seats currently held by Republicans, in two states are behind in the polls. Those are incumbent Pat Roberts of Kansas, who is trailing Independent Greg Orman by 0.8 percent in the RCP average and Republican nominee David Perdue, who is just 1.0 percent behind Democrats Michelle Nunn in the Georgia Senate race. The last two polls reported from the Georgia race includes one showing a tie, and another showing Perdue leading by 2 percent. Both of these races can be clearly viewed as too close to call that could go either way. But Republicans are projected by RCP to win enough seats to gain a majority in the Senate.
There are eight states where RCP projects that Republican nominees will win seats currently held by Democrats. These eight pickups will give Republicans at least the 6 net seats they need to gain to reach a 51 seat majority. Those eight states are Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia. When the RCP average of polls, by which each Republican nominee in those states leads their races by, is added together and averaged, the average by which those candidates lead by in those eight states is a staggering 8.3 percent. The closest two among those eight is Joni Ernst leading by 2.5 percent in Iowa and Cory Gardner leading by 3.8 percent in Colorado.
Compare those numbers to the two races above where the Republicans are barely losing, where the margins are 0.8 percent and 1.0 percent. The statistic odds that Republicans will win one or both of those seats are significantly higher than the odds that Democrats will close the gap and win one or both of the Iowa and Colorado races. The other six seats Republicans are likely to gain show margins in the RCP averages of polls that are well outside of the margin of error of the polling data. In short, those are likely Republican wins and most other projections of these races regard those seats as “likely” or “safe” Republican wins.
I am confident in projecting at this time that Republicans are quite likely to win the Senate majority in these elections (even if Louisiana and Georgia go to runoffs, historically such runoffs feature lower turnout which favors Republicans) this year. There is only two ways the Democrats would retain the senate majority. One is extremely higher than likely turnout among the voters in the Democrats base, and none of the polls are projecting this and no serious observer of politics and elections has even suggested this is possible. The other way they could win is massive voter fraud. We are seeing some signs already that this might be in the plans for the Democrats. The very real voting scandal out of Colorado, that some elements of the liberal media lied about and said was a “fake voting scandal,” is one red flag that is raised in regard to possible massive Democrat voter fraud in an attempt to steal the Senate elections to keep Harry Reid in office as Majority Leader of the Senate.
I have tough time believing that the Democrats will engage in open and brazen and obvious massive voter fraud to retain the Senate, as is pondered in the article published in this column last night about how Democrats could possibly retain the Senate majority. I think they will want to have the polls come much closer in many states (highly unlikely given the numbers reviewed above) to make it much more plausible that Democrats could be making such a substantial comeback in the polls so it would be believable that they could actually win enough of these Senate races to hold on to the majority. Remember that perception is reality in politics, and unless it's perceived the Democrats have a shot at this, I seriously doubt they would openly and brazenly commit enough voter fraud to win several states where the polls right up until the day before election day clearly show they are going to lose.
But it should be remembered, and this is not a conspiracy theory but a reminder of the liberal agenda and the liberal bias in the media, and a reminder of who controls these institutions of the “mainstream” media that reports most of our election news and commissions a majority of these polls we're putting stock in. These signs, described below, will make it clear that voter fraud might decide this election in favor of the Democrats.
Let's suppose all or most of the below happens by the day before the election. The last few polls on the Kentucky Senate race shows McConnell's 4.0 percent lead in the RCP average evaporating to almost zero. Michele Nunn in Georgia expands to 4-5 percent and the conventional wisdom is she may get enough votes to avoid a runoff. Shaheen in New Hampshire and Hagan in North Carolina both expand their one-point-something leads in the RCP averages to something about 4.0 percent. Bill Cassidy in Louisiana goes from having a 4.8 percent lead in the RCP average to being just about tied with Mary Landrieu. In Iowa, it flips, and instead of Republican Joni Ernst leading by 2.5 percent, the last few polls before election day put Democrat Bruce Braley ahead by 2-3 percent instead. Tom Cotton has been leading for weeks in Arkansas, but suddenly the last few polls of that race show him tied or one percent behind incumbent Senator Mark Pryor.
The liberal media gleefully reports big momentum by the Democrats in the last week before the election, and gladly projects that the Democrats will come out of this election with at least 50 maybe even 51 or 52 seats to retain the majority. Even Nate Silver and the others, looking at those polls (many of which will be skewed) and they change their projections too.
What will really be going on if we see those signs, is, the polls being skewed again to cover for expected, and planned, voter fraud to steal the closest elections that are otherwise going narrowly in favor of Republicans, in favor of the Democrats. It's all about plausible deniability, and if the media-manufactured polls show the Democrats can win, then they can steal enough votes in enough states to keep the Senate and plausibly deny they engage in voter fraud.
So if we see those signs next week, we'll know what's happening. And they don't have a hurricane Sandy to blame it on this time. Who knows what else they might make up to explain the sudden public shift to the Democrats. Maybe we won't see these signs and this suspected campaign of massive Democrat voter fraud, for the most part, will not happen. We can only hope so. Or perhaps the Democrats don't dare do it because we've already called them on it in advance, and we'll be ready to bust them when it happens. Any Democrats out there possibly wanting to orchestrate this kind of voter fraud should be aware, that investigative journalists like James O'Keefe and others might very well be in place and prepared to bust them on it. If Democrats are caught red-handed engaging in massive voter fraud to try to steal this election, it will prove what we've suspected for many years. It is precisely the reason Democrats are so adamantly opposed to reasonable election reforms like voter ID laws.
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